Statistical Analysis

Hi,

I would like to shere for all MF user ,a very nice odds that I found.

I use statistical analysis and a soccer-model:
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Fiorentina v AC Milan - Over/Under 2.5 goals: 60 % < 2.5 goals

Back odds @ betfair 1.95 @ <2.5 goals
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Mgladbach v FC Koln - Over/Under 2.5 goals : 60 % > 2.5 gaols

BAck odds @ betfair 1.86 > 2.5 goals
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A risk of this analysis is that it does not take account of temporary factors

/Mattias

The first settled game gave a positive outcome after 39 minutes 

Mgladbach v FC Koln > 2.5 goals
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/Mattias

I have found today's best value-bet, from a statistical analyst's point of view. The match will start within one hour.....

Argentinos Juniors v Gimnasia La Plata - Over/Under 2.5 goals: 67 % < 2.5 goals

Back @ betfair for the odds of 1.69

/Mattias

Summary of the games that I've shown here,

Mgladbach v FC Koln  5-1 - win
Argentinos Juniors v Gimnasia La Plata  1-1 -win
Fiorentina v AC Milan 1-2 - lost

It gave a total yield of 18 % profit.

To be profitible I do belive one need to do analysis, it's not working with just a trigger.

/Mattias