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  • #1 by Mat on 10 Apr 2011
  • Hi,

    I would like to shere for all MF user ,a very nice odds that I found.

    I use statistical analysis and a soccer-model:
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    Fiorentina v AC Milan - Over/Under 2.5 goals: 60 % < 2.5 goals

    Back odds @ betfair 1.95 @ <2.5 goals
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Mgladbach v FC Koln - Over/Under 2.5 goals : 60 % > 2.5 gaols

    BAck odds @ betfair 1.86 > 2.5 goals
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    A risk of this analysis is that it does not take account of temporary factors

    /Mattias
    • Mat
  • #2 by Mat on 10 Apr 2011
  • The first settled game gave a positive outcome after 39 minutes  :)

    Mgladbach v FC Koln > 2.5 goals
    -----------------------------------------

    /Mattias
    • Mat
  • #3 by Mat on 10 Apr 2011
  • I have found today's best value-bet, from a statistical analyst's point of view. The match will start within one hour.....

    Argentinos Juniors v Gimnasia La Plata - Over/Under 2.5 goals: 67 % < 2.5 goals

    Back @ betfair for the odds of 1.69

    /Mattias
    • Mat
  • #4 by Mat on 10 Apr 2011
  • Summary of the games that I've shown here,

    Mgladbach v FC Koln  5-1 - win
    Argentinos Juniors v Gimnasia La Plata  1-1 -win
    Fiorentina v AC Milan 1-2 - lost

    It gave a total yield of 18 % profit.

    To be profitible I do belive one need to do analysis, it's not working with just a trigger.

    /Mattias
    • Mat
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