Good morning everyone,
First of all, I apologize for my English (not my native language).
I understand very little programming MF and that is why I turn to the experience that you have.
Needed the help of this community for a Trigger that MF offers as an example the "over-under-martingale"
"marketfeeder.co.uk/solutions/staking-plans/over-under-martingale/"
In the last 4 days I have tested this trigger, which can be profitable if implemented some protections according to the risk they intend to run.
The results obtained in these four days were:
44 Greens
5 Red
The big problem with this tigger, like all , is when we have negative results (because we are not present to avoid them).
Negative results can easily exceed the profits from the positives and lead to zero because our account assumes odds with responsibilities too high.
To be avoided at such quel trigger should have a protection with these results.
I will give a real example to better understand:
Napoles Game against Bologna 15/12/2012
16-Dez-12
Betting against
Napoli x Bologna : > 0.5 Goals ----1º goal 10’ 0-1
Odds---1,07 *** Stake---25,00€ *** Profit / loss -1,75€
Betting against
Napoli x Bologna : > 1.5 Goals ---- 2º goal 50´ 1-1
Odds---1,08 *** Stake---26,75€ *** Profit / loss -2,14€
Betting against
Napoli x Bologna : > 2.5 Goals ---- 3º goal 70´ 2-1
Odds---1,28 *** Stake---20,89€ *** Profit / loss -9,09€
Betting against
Napoli x Bologna : > 3.5 Goals ----- 4º goal 86´ 2-2
Odds---1,88 *** Stake---36,98€ *** Profit / loss -32,54€
Betting against
Napoli x Bologna : > 4.5 Goals ----- 5º goal 89´ 2-3
Odds---4,30 *** Stake---65,00€ *** Profit / loss -214,50€
Betting against
Napoli x Bologna : > 5.5 Goals
Lost ---- without enough money to match> 5.5 goals
Odds against were very high
This type of situation breaks easily with the funds that we may have available, or the lack of time to place a new bet.
What I wanted, if I could help was as follows.
The triggers should have the following conditions / variables beyond those that already exist:
1º Never enter the 1st over> 0.5 with an odd more than 1.20 (this value should be possible to change according to each strategy) that would prevent adverse situations in the market.
2º In the case of entering a bet with an odd resulting in a superior responsibility to 4 (this value should be possible to change according to the strategy of each) times the original stake at any point in the game,> 0.5 /> 1.5 / > 2.5 / .... /> 8.5, the tigger should do a stop loss, making a back.
example:
Initial stake € = 5;
Maximum liability = 20 €;
After the trigger to make the bet should be a condition or variable that make spread loss.
It is certainly not obvious that we would win this bet, but avoided large losses.
3º If the game reaches 8 goals, stop loss should be done (to date had no such situation);
4º And this I think is impossible to avoid, happens when one team scores a goal in the last minute / seconds, the bet is lost because there is no time for any reaction
If you could help greatly thanked.
Greetings to all,
Roy