[TR] Dutching with Increasing Stake

Hi,

I think this is simple, but maybe not:

1. For races with volume > V (e.g. 2,000)
2. Dutch a number of favourites up to p% (Back Book% from Top < P%), say 70%
3. If wins = 0 (last race was a loss) then bet to win an initial amount, say $10
4. If wins > 0 then increase the last amount to win by N%, say 10%.

So the first race dutches to win $10. If it wins, the next race dutches to win $10*(1+10%) = $11. If it wins, the next race dutches to win $11* (1+10%) = $12.10. And so on until there is a loss, then start over at $10.

Thank you

hi
here is your trigger,in the constants you can set.
Bet amount to win
Increase bet amount after a win by percent 
Minutes before the start time to place the bets
Minimum matched volume
Maximum selections book percent

your 70% book is a bit low a more realistic would be 90%

please use test mode until you are happy with your settings

mcbee

download the trigger below

Hi,

I sorry, but I think you misunderstood requirement 2. It is not dutch every horse that has a probability < 70%. Rather, if the first horse is 50% and the second is 15% and the third is 10%, the dutch the first two. If the first one is 40% and the next two are 15% and 10% then dutch the three.

For each horse, the probability is Back% FROM TOP < 70%, including the probability of the better favourites, not Back% < 70% for each horse individually.

Hope this makes sense.

Thank you

hi
you confused me with  

(Back Book% from Top < P%)

here is your trigger,one constant has been altered.
Maximum selections probability percent 
mcbee
download the trigger below

Hi,

Back Book% from Top is one of the options in the drop down for a condition.

Go to any trigger in the trigger editor. Go to any condition that has "Selection's" then choose the next drop down. The list goes

...
Back Volume
Lay Volume
Back Book% from Top
Lay Book% from Top
Back Book% from Bottom
Lay Book % from Bottom
...

What I want is the remembered list of selections where the Back Book % from Top is less than the percentage specified.

Let me know if you are still confused about "Back Book% from Top".

Thank you for all your help.

hi
i have used this  (100/r_1_back_price) etc for each rank up to the 10th favorite.
= 100/favorites back price
in the latest trigger download , so it is doing what you require.

mcbee

Thank you.

I see it now. Thank you for all the work!!

If I need to go for more than 10 runners, then I think I'll change the 10 conditions to a single remember list where back % from top is less than the percentage.

But I'm happy.

hi
here is a trigger using the book% from the top.
same but it will go to any number of selections , i am used to doing calculations manually.

mcbee