Author Topic: The Holy Grail  (Read 738 times)

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The Holy Grail
« on: 24 Feb 2021, 12:38 »
Since I've had MFP for the last 4 years or so I have been seeking a method to set and forget. I'm probably not alone there.
I have developed one which I have been backing with actual money for 490 bets. The hit rate is around 50% and the avge odds have been 2.51. There is no recovery system as bets are level stakes. It runs on Australian races excluding trot and pace races. 
My question is how many races would be considered a reasonable number to test this system? It has been running 3 months and I consider a year, covering all seasons in Oz, would be reasonable. This would be 1500 or more bets.
Jack
Perth - Australia

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Re: The Holy Grail
« Reply #1 on: 24 Feb 2021, 12:56 »
I would consider a year to be a good start....

But you never know really....  depends what your ROI is. You need to have a fairly decent ROI to cover the possible bad months that could crop up.

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Re: The Holy Grail
« Reply #2 on: 24 Feb 2021, 14:25 »
2.52 you say. To be pretty much sure I would say much more than 1500 bets. I used to take 1.3 in average a while ago and experienced streak of 2 000 bets when I was down about 10 units. So few thousands for sure in extreme situation. 

 

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