Triggers in Action — a new high-scale, transparent strategy-testing project

Hello OXA... I´ve been trying the trigger dutch_lay_favs and it´s working (some faultys - I open a post to related those)....

Now, is it possible to add a stoploss based in the % of liability? If we have a 100£ of liability, when 50£ of losses is reached then distribute those losses for all horses.

Another thing that I would like to try is to close the dutch at the start of the race and distribute the losses for all horses. I mean, don´t let the ducth go in-play and close all the bets.

Thank you for your attention.....

Backing in Place markets on horses at >= 1.6, with a Profit Accumulator ....So,that means to back a horse in the market "to be placed" when his odd in that market is >=1.6??

Yes, that's right.

This is yet another Trigger in Action inspired by a BFStats report. The idea came to me a few months ago when I noticed a downtrend in the last traded price of a dog with the greatest matched volume.

Backing on the dog with the greatest volume at X minutes before the race

I wanted to find out how likely it is that, if a back on a greyhound with the maximum matched volume, its price will steadily decline in the last few minutes before the off, allowing enough margin to green it up to an equal profit.

This testing session had two strategy pivots along the line, so let me give you the breakdown of all three strategies tested. You will find the triggers implementing all three strategies down the next section.

Strategy 1
Back on the dog with the greatest matched volume percentage at 3 minutes before the start of the race. Trade it out with a lay bet at exactly the scheduled start time of the race. 

Strategy 2a
Back on the dog with the greatest matched volume percentage at 2 minutes before the start of the race. Leave the bet there no matter where the price goes.

Strategy 2b
Using Market Locator, filter out markets with a predefined list of distances, as selected using the BFStats report. Back on the dog with the greatest matched volume percentage at 2 minutes before the start of the race. Leave the bet there no matter where the price goes.



Testing period
17 days, from 07/06/2022 to 24/06/2922

Can you tell me if the following trigger is possible to be made? its a cross market trigger on the half time football markets.. if there is more money matched on the over 1.5 half time market than there is on the over 0.5 half time market and at least £5,000 matched on the over 1.5 half time market then id like to back the 0.5 half time at odds of 1.5 in 10 installments of £2.50 when the price has increased every 5 ticks

Yes, it's could be done with triggers.

This is our new statistics-based trigger testing report, this time for Match Odds football markets.

Pick football Match Odds markets with at least £3,000 in matched volume at the start of the event.

At the 5th minute of a football match, place a back bet on the Away* team if its price is between 1.1 and 3.05 and matched volume percentage** is at least 14%, whereas the Draw's volume percentage is below 10%. 

For the purposes of validating purely the assumptions in this strategy, we are using flat stakes, therefore, there will be no loss recovery, although you can turn in on in the trigger constants.

*The Away team will always come as the second selection in the Match Odds market.

**The matched volume percentage is the share of the total amount of matched bets placed in the market. 

Almost everything about this strategy is flexible, meaning you can adjust the type of bet, size, price range, type of selection to bet on, etc. in the trigger constants.

Here is what has come out of it:

Testing Period: 15 days, from 14/10/2022 to 29/10/2022
Starting Bank:   1,000
Final Bank:   1,100.15
Total P/L:   100.15
ROI:      8.60%



Read the complete report with downloadable triggers and account statements here:

Backing the Away team in a football Match Odds market based on the Draw's volume