ANGELITO20

today only one bet, but Its the bet of  the day

14:30 WINC

KUDU SHINE. odds 13. I go with 10 gbp, at this odds,  with 10, and 10, and with 20 at 7.

Good luck

I am thinking in put only the best of the best.
TODAY A BIG WIN
See you tomorrow

hi,

its 10  minutes to the first race of the day. Are you doing any selections today, or do you take sundays off 

Hi today the arces are so bad.
I have found one with a lof of value


Race of the day
14:40 MKRT
Trapper peak. Unmached bet at 6.4 .


Why. The horse now its 10. tHE 80% of the races that run, the odds go down, however the horse in think its not goinng to win because he its now in  a higher class, the jockey its bad in this tupe of race , and the speed its not so good.

I think its a good lay at this odds 6.4.  i go with 20.

Good luck

other win. I think i will put less races to bet, but more sure. for trading like back and they lay, my selection are also perfect.

See you tomorrow

RACE OF THE DAY


CARL 15:25
dashing george odds 11.i go with 20

good luck

another big win . at the moment 100 %

Tomorrow i will put another one of someone its interested. If not tell me for left to do it.

RACE OF THE DAY

14:00 WOL
opus del i go with 10 at current odds 12. And with 10 more like unmached at 9, and 7, and 6.

This will be my last post here. no one its interested.

Hope finished with 100% 

Another BIG WIN

Today are other race of the day, but like anybody its interested i dont post.

With this race finished my prediction with a 100% overall in the races of the day an in my overall i am 67 from 69.

I hope someone was interested but like its not the case i dead this thread.

Bye

Angelito,

I'm sure we all welcome your enthusiastic support for the forum and personally I commend you for sharing your optimism.
From my brief look at the thread it appears you are laying horses some at odds of 10/1.
I have to say, a small sample of 79 races is tiny to say the least even for backing to win, let alone laying double figure odds.
If you had said you'd accumulated a sample size of 7,900 races I'd be much more impressed. Especially laying at long odds.
During the past three decades I have run hundreds of thousands of races several times in the race markets in Asia to try to gain a positive edge, so I know what is required to gain an edge which is only temporary at best. Models need to be updated regularly.
By all means please continue your research, but be aware that lady luck is a creature of fickle habits and to entertain her, to smile in your favour you need to spend a long time with her and a whole lot of races.
I do wish you well, you have a positive attitude which is important.
R

Of course large sample size is great to decrease the uncertainty, but it's possible to use the statistics you have do give a probability of your chances to be long term profitable. If you are interested give a complete list of odds and winners/losers I am sure we can help you with an estimate.

Or we can use for the estimate: am I right  - odds 11 and 79 correct predictions of 79 ?

Hi thanks  for reply.
My objetive its learn and try to do a active topic for talk about thing about horses and try to win some money.


like say racepro you must be so good for win if you lay horses, but only depend of the bankroll management and the selections for find if a horse have a value or not.  If the odds are high i usually only bet 10 pounds.See Maria System Lay for that information. For my bank its 1.5% so its fine. but the most important thing its if you know if a horse its going to go up or down in play. For example today i lay a bet of 10 pounds at 12, high because in my excell after put the form, speed, trainer, going, top of race, the odds must be in 30. So i know have value, but after that i look for the previous races in the time machine and i see that the horse, the odds go down to 6, sO I LAY AGAIN HERE AT ODDS OF 6.5. so know i win 20, but 10 are a low odds. If the horse that i lay its not sure sure, i left the unmached bet at low odds, so if i win i win the same but if i lost i lost less than 0,5 of my bank.

Sometimes if i found value i can net in place markets, or put a back net in the favorite and then do the trading.
If someone its interested in talk will be great to try to learn all together.

I put the real of my account of today
Horse Racing: €73.38  Total P&L:  €73.38. I only lost in one race but i have the stop lost activate. Sometimes if a horse dont run well at the begiining grow a lot.
 
Horse Racing    Showing 1 - 16 of 16 markets
Market    Start time    Settled date    Profit/loss (€)
Horse Racing / Taun 17th Feb : 2m1f NHF    17-Feb-15 18:20    17-Feb-15 18:28    1.84
Horse Racing / Weth (AvB) 17th Feb : Abijoe v Spirit Dame    17-Feb-15 18:00    17-Feb-15 18:17    4.82
Horse Racing / Wolv 17th Feb : 1m Hcap    17-Feb-15 18:10    17-Feb-15 18:14    2.73
Horse Racing / Weth 17th Feb : 4 TBP    17-Feb-15 18:00    17-Feb-15 18:08    2.46
Horse Racing / Weth 17th Feb : 2m NHF    17-Feb-15 18:00    17-Feb-15 18:06    1.92
Horse Racing / Taun 17th Feb : 2m3f Hcap Hrd    17-Feb-15 17:15    17-Feb-15 17:25    1.48
Horse Racing / Wolv 17th Feb : 5f Hcap    17-Feb-15 17:05    17-Feb-15 17:07    7.56
Horse Racing / Taun 17th Feb : 2m1f Hcap Hrd    17-Feb-15 16:45    17-Feb-15 16:50    0.19
Horse Racing / Wolv 17th Feb : 1m4f Mdn    17-Feb-15 16:35    17-Feb-15 16:38    2.50
Horse Racing / Weth 17th Feb : 2m Hcap Chs    17-Feb-15 16:25    17-Feb-15 16:32    -1.95
Horse Racing / Taun 17th Feb : 2m3f Hcap Chs    17-Feb-15 16:10    17-Feb-15 16:16    4.25
Horse Racing / Taun 17th Feb : 2m3f Nov Hrd    17-Feb-15 15:40    17-Feb-15 15:46    2.84
Horse Racing / Wolv 17th Feb : 1m Hcap    17-Feb-15 15:30    17-Feb-15 15:33    4.73
Horse Racing / Weth 17th Feb : 2m6f Nov Hcap Chs    17-Feb-15 15:20    17-Feb-15 15:26    3.98
Horse Racing / Taun 17th Feb : 3m Hcap Hrd    17-Feb-15 15:10    17-Feb-15 15:18    22.69
Horse Racing / Wolv 17th Feb : 7f Hcap    17-Feb-15 15:00    17-Feb-15 15:03    11.34

Reply to tupp.

Maybe its luck but in the excel i put all the odds must have the horses after consulting a database, racingpost, sportglige and 3 pages more. and also look  everything in my own databas  that i have done after bought most of the races of the last year in Timemachine

So if someone want to do t, i can put one day, choose the day that  want, maybe this friday and i will put 3 things :

1) The Race of the day
2) All the races that have value for back the horse in place(3-4 winners).
3) Lay the horses at smaller odds like unmached. i WILL put the odds. The strikerate dont have to be so high for win money.

If Want that i will do it and then talk about the results and see.

Race of the day

15:35 ling

SIRENS COVE 8.8

Good luck

Another win. The horse start at 7.8 before the start and was a big opportunity

See you tomorrow. Someone also bet or i am the only