Author Topic: Easy Racer  (Read 63101 times)

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Easy Racer
« on: 15 Nov 2013, 15:57 »
Introducing Easy Racer

Easy Racer is a simple set and forget MFP Horse Racing Bot. This is a lay strategy that works on UK & IRE Flat horse racing.

All that is needed from your end is to load the day's UK & IRE racing and Easy Racer will do the rest. Please ensure that silk data is downloaded so that easy racer can work properly. Although care has been taken to avoid placing bets in other non-UK/IRE racing markets, it is still best that this are not loaded in the profile runing Easy Racer.

So the important things are:
Load UK/IRE Flat races and enable silk data download.
Set lay stake
Easy Racer will do the rest.

Recommendations:
1000 point bank ... Easy Racer will lay up to 100 points (Avg around 25).
If bank increases by 10% adjust stakes, so that it's 1000 point (laying 1 point, bank goes from 1000 to 1100 adjust to lay 1.1)
Bank drops by 25% adjust stakes to 1000 points (1000 point bank drops to 750 adjust lay to 0.75)

All the hard work has been done with Easy Racer, now you just need to follow the above bank management steps and watch the money roll in.

Expectations:
9/10 winning months, 2-3 losing months
100 to 200 or more points per year

Due to the quiet time with flat racing I will run a once off introductory trial offer.

How to get Easy Racer:
Launch Trail Offer USD10
[once off offer] 2 Month Trail December 2013 and January 2014 

6 Months Membership
USD 90

12 Months Membership
USD 150

I reserve the right to limit membership or increase prices at anytime.

Payment Methods – Neteller or Skrill (Moneybookers)

Easy Racer will not make you an overnight millionaire, but with good bank management will earn you a nice little income on the side.

I am charging a small fee for the trial so that you actually run the bot for the two allocated months, whether live or test mode. The trial is running over December/January as these are probably the quietest flat racing month.

PM me with your preferred payment method and I will reply with the address to send the payment to. Once received you will get the bot within 3 days.
Fortune favors the brave!

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Re: Easy Racer
« Reply #1 on: 17 Nov 2013, 21:32 »
25 points lay stake equates to 9125 points staked per annum. The liability on these stakes will very enormously depending on the lay odds but let us assume that all odds are 2. We will risk over 9000 points and our expected ( averaged ) return will be 150 points i.e. 1.64% return. This is almost exactly the same return as a savings account would earn in interest in the UK. No account has been taken of the payment for the trigger.

How can this be said to enable anybody to "watch the money roll in", please  ? There is no risk attached to the savings account.

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Re: Easy Racer
« Reply #2 on: 18 Nov 2013, 04:31 »
How can this be said to enable anybody to "watch the money roll in", please  ? There is no risk attached to the savings account.
Firstly this statement is false .. tell that to the people of Cyprus and they will tell you otherwise. In money there's always inherent risk.

The reason the return is low is because the bank points are high to mitigate any risk of a wipe out. Also the same bank does not only have to be used for just this strategy. Currently running greyhounds, horse racing (other), baseball ... and waiting on NFL ... so overall return is not as stated by your calculations. Would your bank let you use your funds for stock, bonds and property and still pay you the 1.64%??

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Re: Easy Racer
« Reply #3 on: 18 Nov 2013, 07:28 »
Along with millions of other people, I would, and do, happily invest in bank accounts.  Your offer of a trigger for payment is typical of many such "opportunities" available. I'll give it a miss this time. Others will decide for themselves.

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Re: Easy Racer
« Reply #4 on: 18 Nov 2013, 08:10 »
But Nigel.....you are criticizing a profit on turnover metric of 1.64% without appreciating the gain on equity.

If you start with 1000 pts and turn it into 1150 you have made 11.5% ROE. That is the correct comparison to a bank account. Not the turnover of 9000 pts. Does your bank pay you that?

Most if not all of my winning triggers return 1-3% PoT but given my turnover which can be 500-1000 times my bank per year, you do the math to work out the ROE.

Get your head around the advantage of large turnover approach. Small fish are sweet.


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Re: Easy Racer
« Reply #5 on: 18 Nov 2013, 13:50 »
I am fully aware of the benefits of a large turnover. The trigger would not be suitable for me. Imagine a starting bank of £ 1000. According to the figures provided, the profit might be 150 points. Then, you have to pay $ 150 for the trigger !

I am not fond of any trigger that relies on loss recovery as this one clearly does. Also, the reduction of stakes, determined by past losses does not fill me with confidence; it may allow me to lose my bank more slowly.

My principal grouse is that I do not like to see claims in terms such as  "watch the money roll in". If the trigger was that good, the vendor not need to sell it.

I have not sought confrontation but only seek some sense of balance here and I will not comment further on this trigger. I reserve the right to debunk exaggerated claims if the need arises in future.


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Re: Easy Racer
« Reply #6 on: 18 Nov 2013, 20:15 »
Yes, you have some fair points Nigel. I'm not after a fight either.
Loss recovery is a concern. I'm not a fan, but a close punting mate did it successfully for many years and I have his formula for use, the trick is a very conservative approach. I'll report back after my trial.  
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Re: Easy Racer
« Reply #7 on: 20 Nov 2013, 16:36 »
There is absolutely no loss recovery. On a losing run stakes are reduced, on a winning run stakes are increased.

It's purely flat stakes, which are adjust as and when there are big bank changes.

Example
Positive Run bank goes from 1000 to 1100
stake adjusted to 1.1
Negative Run Bank Drops to around 900
Stake adjust to to 0.9
Positive Run to 990
Stakes adjusted to 9.9


This can be easily built in based on setting a bank high as a constant, but I have chosen not to, because if you run multiple strategies sometimes bank changes are not due to this strategy, but maybe your others .. withdrawals, deposits .. etc.

Stake = BankHigh* 0.001

If Balance > BankHigh * 1.1
BankHigh = Balance
OR
If Balance < BankHigh * 0.8
BankHigh = Balance
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Re: Easy Racer
« Reply #8 on: 20 Nov 2013, 18:40 »
1oser,
I understand you have been working with this trigger for a long time! Have you been able to double your bank? What is the average doubling time of your bank using this trigger?

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Re: Easy Racer
« Reply #9 on: 20 Nov 2013, 18:46 »
1oser,
I understand you have been working with this trigger for a long time! Have you been able to double your bank? What is the average doubling time of your bank using this trigger?

I have not doubled my bank ... it would take 3-6 years to double your bank with this strategy alone.

Although this trigger is stable .. other distraction have led me astray over time.
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Re: Easy Racer
« Reply #10 on: 20 Nov 2013, 18:52 »
hi 1oser
do you have a spreadsheet with results and profit/loss.
it would be good to compare the figures with standard fixed stakes, as it is not logical to decrease stakes when losing.


mcbee
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Re: Easy Racer
« Reply #11 on: 20 Nov 2013, 20:13 »
Why not just a fixed percentage liability?


 
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Re: Easy Racer
« Reply #12 on: 21 Nov 2013, 12:18 »
hi 1oser
do you have a spreadsheet with results and profit/loss.
it would be good to compare the figures with standard fixed stakes, as it is not logical to decrease stakes when losing.


mcbee

Not logical to you ... but for me it's perfectly logical ... you have less and less in your bank it makes perfect sense to me to risk less.

I don't have as extensive information as you would probably prefer .. but let me have a look and see what I can provide.

I have no problem with fixed % liability as long as it's adjusted as I suggested.

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Re: Easy Racer
« Reply #13 on: 30 Dec 2013, 16:18 »
Some easy racer sample results below.

Beginning January 2014 I will be posting forward results, with stakes based on fixed liability.

Race   Bet Type   Odds   Results
GB / Donc 9th Nov / 17:00 1m2f Listed   Lay   10   10
GB / Nott 6th Nov / 17:40 5f Hcap   Lay   19   10
GB / Nott 6th Nov / 15:00 5f Hcap   Lay   14   10
GB / Wolv 4th Nov / 16:15 6f Hcap   Lay   19   10
GB / Wolv 1st Nov / 19:55 5f Nursery   Lay   17.5   10
GB / Kemp 31st Oct / 22:00 7f Hcap   Lay   24   10
GB / Kemp 31st Oct / 21:00 6f Hcap   Lay   19.5   10
GB / Kemp 31st Oct / 18:30 1m3f Sell Stks   Lay   12.5   10
GB / Kemp 31st Oct / 18:30 1m3f Sell Stks   Lay   12   10
GB / Ling 31st Oct / 17:20 1m5f Listed   Lay   13.5   10
GB / Ling 31st Oct / 16:50 1m Listed   Lay   11.5   -105
GB / Ling 31st Oct / 16:50 1m Listed   Lay   32   10
GB / Ling 31st Oct / 16:50 1m Listed   Lay   14   10
GB / Kemp 30th Oct / 21:40 1m4f Hcap   Lay   15.5   10
GB / Nott 30th Oct / 18:10 1m2f Hcap   Lay   30   10
GB / Wolv 29th Oct / 20:40 1m Nursery   Lay   10   10
GB / Catt 29th Oct / 18:20 5f Hcap   Lay   28   10
GB / Newb 25th Oct / 16:35 1m2f Hcap   Lay   10   10
GB / Newb 25th Oct / 16:35 1m2f Hcap   Lay   19   10
GB / Wolv 24th Oct / 21:10 1m Hcap   Lay   12.5   10
GB / Kemp 23rd Oct / 20:50 1m Hcap   Lay   20   10
GB / Kemp 23rd Oct / 18:50 1m2f Hcap   Lay   18   10
IRE / Navan 23rd Oct / 17:50 1m2f Hcap   Lay   10   -90
GB / Kemp 22nd Oct / 18:40 1m3f Hcap   Lay   14.5   10
GB / Wind 21st Oct / 18:00 5f Hcap   Lay   10   10
GB / Wind 21st Oct / 18:00 5f Hcap   Lay   11   10
GB / Ponte 21st Oct / 16:10 5f Hcap   Lay   13.5   10
IRE / Naas 20th Oct / 16:15 1m Listed   Lay   75   10
GB / Wolv 19th Oct / 20:20 5f Mdn Stks   Lay   19.5   10
GB / Wolv 19th Oct / 20:20 5f Mdn Stks   Lay   65   10
GB / Wolv 19th Oct / 19:20 1m1f Hcap   Lay   15.5   10
GB / Catt 19th Oct / 17:15 7f Hcap   Lay   11.5   10
GB / Catt 19th Oct / 16:40 5f Hcap   Lay   12.5   10
GB / Ascot 19th Oct / 15:55 1m4f Grp1   Lay   10   10
GB / Ascot 19th Oct / 15:55 1m4f Grp1   Lay   20   -190
GB / Ascot 19th Oct / 15:55 1m4f Grp1   Lay   11.5   10
GB / Ascot 19th Oct / 15:55 1m4f Grp1   Lay   11.5   10
GB / Catt 19th Oct / 14:20 1m4f Hcap   Lay   15.5   10
IRE / Dund 18th Oct / 20:45 7f Hcap   Lay   11   10
GB / Wolv 18th Oct / 20:30 1m1f Class Stks   Lay   100   10
GB / Wolv 18th Oct / 20:30 1m1f Class Stks   Lay   75   10
GB / Redc 18th Oct / 18:20 1m2f Hcap   Lay   10   10
GB / Hayd 18th Oct / 15:55 5f Nursery   Lay   17.5   10
GB / Kemp 16th Oct / 22:10 1m Class Stks   Lay   11   10
GB / Nott 16th Oct / 18:50 5f Hcap   Lay   14   10
GB / Nott 16th Oct / 18:50 5f Hcap   Lay   27   10
GB / Nott 16th Oct / 18:20 5f Hcap   Lay   23   10
GB / Nott 16th Oct / 17:50 5f Hcap   Lay   25   10
GB / Nott 16th Oct / 15:40 1m Nursery   Lay   20   10
IRE / Curr 13th Oct / 17:05 1m4f Listed   Lay   13.5   10
Fortune favors the brave!

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Re: Easy Racer
« Reply #14 on: 02 Jan 2014, 20:07 »
The live forward results will be based on a $2000 bank, risk $50 per race (fixed liability) 2.5% risk.

Results are net .. after 5% commission. Going forward I will only list the meeting and the PnL from the meeting.

Jan 1 No Bets

Jan 2
Sthl 2nd Jan / 15:00 Only Ten Per Cent   SP 15.5   +$3.27

Sthl 2nd Jan / 17:00 Share The Dosh   SP 94.96   +$0.5
Sthl 2nd Jan / 17:00 Acton Gold   SP 18.14   +$2.77

Wolv 2nd Jan / 19:20 Vale Of Clara   SP 18  +$2.79

Closing Bank
$2009.33
Fortune favors the brave!

 

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