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  • #1 by jimnz on 11 Aug 2011
  • following on from my last post..
    1. many think x-games are rigged
    2. many people can get a system to work well for a day, week month.. producing 100%+ profits per day

    What about halfing ones bank ($500 in games wallet and $500 in main) pre betting
    aggresivly bet the system until it doubles overnight
    Then remove the $500 profit and continue the next night?

    assuming the betfait bots dont take you out more than 50% of days this should work?

  • #2 by rubold on 11 Aug 2011
  • They ain't rigged, just random, but as there is a house edge of around 3%, long term profitability is not possible.   A bit like betting on a roulette wheel.
  • #3 by jimnz on 12 Aug 2011
  • yea, im leaning more to the random side.

    anyone see why this wouldnt work tho?
    - your system doubles it self in a 24hr peroid more than 50% of days .
    - when the days bets double, remove 1/2 and start the next day with the base bank again

    surely this would work?
    if 100 days are tested and 80% are "doubled" days, the chances of the next 100 days being below 50% are very slim. and even if the 2nd hundred days strike rate was above 20% (extreamly rare) we would be in profit for the 200 day peroid???

    or

    @ 80% win rate
    start bank $100
    2 of every 10 lays are -$100 days
    8 of every 10 days are +$100 days

    after 100 days, new bank $7300 !
    and this is not compounding

    i could be missing something?
    the only possible system faliure is if the amount of success days drops below 50%, so how many test days would give a safe probability?
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