Ok, this might take a bit of doing but bear with me.
This strategy requires the use of the following football markets:
Match Odds
First Goal Odds
Correct Score
Under/Over 2.5
What needs to happen is that for every game (which has over £7,500 liquidity in the Correct Score market) and has all the above markets available for the fixture to go in-play (bar First Goal Odds - which doesn't go in-play anyway) it performs an initial check on the Match Odds and identifies games which have a Home favourite price between 1.9 and 2.75 with the Away teams odds no lower than 2.85. Further more then Under 2.5 price has to be below 1.83 and at the same time checks that the following scores are a minimum to back:
1-0 & 1-1 combined price of 14.8 to back (if 1-0 is 8.0 and 6.8 for example, or they are 7.2 and 7.2 that is fine also)
2-0 = 11.0 or greater
0-3 = 28.0 or greater
Once it finds a suitable game it then backs the First Goal Odds 0-10 mins for £2.50 at the same time backing (dutching) the 1-0, 1-1 and 2-0 scores in Correct Score Market for a liability of £27 - weighting more on the 1-1 if possible. This only happens if the prices above all match. This can be done as long as the Under 2.5 score doesn't go above 1.83-1.85 before the off.
Once in-play, on the games which the above has fired on, it should wait till 9.8minutes into the game, check to see if a goal(s) have been scored:
If a goal has been scored then green up/distribute loss in the Correct Score Market and do nothing else, nothing in Under/Over 2.5 market.
If no goal is scored, it should then LAY Under 2.5 goals at 1.72 (the expected price of u2.5 at 9-10mins in) for a liability of £51. If the price happens to be 1.70 then still the liability should still be £51.
The trigger should then wait till the game is HT (not sure best way to work this out, unless you just use 50minutes after going in-play?) and the following analysis/action should take place:
If score is 0-0, wait until the combined distributed loss ('what-if' figure) across both the markets, CS and U2.5 would be £20 (not including the £2.50 in the First Goal Odds market), this might be at HT/slightly before.
If score is 1-0 leave as a profit is ensured.
If score is 2-0 leave as a profit is ensured.
If 0-1 wait until the combined loss across all the markets, CS and U2.5 is £20 (not including the £2.50 in the First Goal Odds market), then hedge the U2.5 to leave a loss of £11 on U2.5 and a profit of around £12.50 on O2.5. In the Correct Score Market distribute the loss across all score in market. This could be at 55min, so 10mins into second half.
If 0-2 green up/distribute loss in both markets (CS and U/O2.5).
Any other score = job done and profit attained.
I understand this is quite complex so I don't expect this will be a quick job.
Let me know your thoughts.